Asian shares tiptoe higher, sterling wounded before BoE
Asian shares edged higher on Thursday amid growing confidence in the global outlook following improving economic indicators and a preliminary trade deal between the United States and China.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.08%. Australian shares were up 0.07%, while Japan’s Nikkei stock index .N225 slid 0.12%.
The pound nursed heavy losses due to concerns Britain could still crash out of the European Union without a trade deal in place after a transition period ending in December 2020.
Traders also await a Bank of England (BoE) policy meeting later Thursday. No change in policy is expected, but the meeting could pose further downside risks for sterling if more policymakers swing to the dovish camp and vote for an interest rate cut.
Overall sentiment was supportive of equities and riskier assets, but less favorable for safe-haven assets like bonds due to expectations that economic growth will start to pick up next year after a tumultuous 2019.
“Data has been generally supportive of an improvement in economic performance,” said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy and chief economist at AMP Capital Investors in Sydney.
“Investors can look forward to stronger growth next year, but a lot of this has already been reflected in share markets.”
Traders are also monitoring a vote in the Democrat-led U.S. House of Representatives over whether to impeach Republican U.S. President Donald Trump.
However, market reaction is unlikely to be significant given it is widely expected that the Republican-controlled Senate will not vote to remove Trump from office.
U.S. stock futures ESc1 edged 0.02% lower in Asia on Thursday. The S&P 500 .SPX fell 0.04% on Wednesday, weighed by a steep drop in FedEx Corp (FDX.N) shares after the U.S. parcel delivery company cut its fiscal 2020 profit forecast.
Earlier in the session, the S&P 500 hit its fifth consecutive record high, and analysts said market sentiment remained largely upbeat following last week’s announcement of an initial U.S.-China trade agreement.
Other analysts pointed to recent data releases showing economic improvements in China, the United States and Germany as reasons to be more optimistic.
In the currency market, sterling GBP=D3 traded at $1.3087, having tumbled more than 3% from an 18-month high struck on Dec. 13 after UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party scored a landslide victory in a general election.
Against the euro, the pound EURGBP=D3 stood at 84.96 pence, close to its weakest since Dec. 4.
Johnson’s government on Tuesday ruled out an extension to the December 2020 deadline for negotiations on a trade deal with the EU, creating a new Brexit cliff-edge and cutting short sterling’s post-election rally.
The focus shifts to the BoE’s policy meeting later Thursday. At its previous meeting, two of the central bank’s nine policymakers voted to cut interest rates.
British inflation remained mired at a three-year low in November, data showed on Wednesday, and uncertainty surrounding Brexit remains high, but this is unlikely to shift expectations that monetary policy will remain on hold.
U.S. crude CLc1 dipped 0.08% to $60.88 a barrel in Asia after U.S. government data showed a decline in crude inventories.
However, prices are likely to be supported due to production cuts coming from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia.